Tre Tucker & the WR Situation

[NoThanksSir]

There is a situation developing with Tre Tucker that is going under the radar. Tucker is a FA this offseason, and while he leaves a lot to be desired in a #1WR after Bowers, he unfortunately is our best WR. I'm not his biggest fan by any means, but even if we take a WR with our 1st pick in 2027 we're still in a precarious situation if he were to walk in free agency. Rookie receivers, especially those taken outside of the top 10, are rarely immediate contributors. I'm skeptical that a Rookie+Nailor/Bech/etc. will produce better results than what we have now. This is even more pressing of an issue because Mendoza will be playing next year, and that is a god awful situation for our prized QB prospect to be walking into. I think even if we assume that first pick is a receiver, we need to consider that another move at WR will need to accompany that selection. That could be re-signing Tucker, going after a more expensive #1, or seeking out a veteran bandaid while a rookie receiver develops. Of course there is option D, none of the above. Which I personally think would be a recipe for disaster, as the other talent on this roster hasn't shown enough potential.

2027 FA WRs

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These are the options other than Tucker in 2027. One important thing to note, is that the only players on the list younger than Tucker are Marvin Mims and George Pickens (By 4 days). My theory is that Tucker is going to have a lot more interest than any of us realize, and might be more coveted by another team than he is by us. Right now Tucker is on pace for a career year. If he continues his average of 59 yards a game, he can reasonably finish the season around 1K yards. While I feel like he leaves a lot to be desired as a player, if we compare him to someone who recently signed a contract with similar career numbers, what could we learn about Tucker's value?

Control Group: Tre Tucker

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Ex 1: Michael Wilson, Cardinals, 26 Yrs old

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Last offseason Wilson signed a 3yr, $75 mill extension at an APY of $25mill a year. His age and numbers are very similar to Tucker's. On top of that, both players are having very similar years in 2026, you could argue Tucker is playing quite a bit better. But let's assume Wilson's contract is a product of a poor Cardinal's org. Let's move on to another example.

Ex 2. Christian Watson, Packers, 27 Yrs old

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Watson also signed an extension last year, this one at an APY of $23mill a year. His career production is similar to Tucker, he seems to be a better red zone player than Tucker is.

Ex. 3 Jakobi Meyers, Jaguars, 30 Yrs old

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This last comp is more of a stretch, but valid because he was in the building and we moved on from him due to a perceived lack of value when it came to a contract extension. I would argue Jakobi Meyers's $20 mill APY is Tucker's floor. I was one of the loudest when it came to Jakobi not being worth what he was going to get paid, and I think the greater conclusion to make here is that mid level WR's are being paid handsomely across the board for very little on field production. Tucker is currently outperforming Meyers in 2026.

So now we have established the general range for Tucker's comps are between $20-25 mill a year. If we decide the juice isn't worth the squeeze, it's worth taking a look at more expensive options while we're at it.

Ex. JSN, Drake London, & Zay Flowers

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All three of these players recently signed contracts at the following APYs ($42.2, 35.2, 35). The main two high end receiver targets for this upcoming offseason (If they hit the open market) will be Nacua and Pickens.

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London and Zay aren't remotely on the same level as Nacua or Pickens. I think JSN is the rare example of a guy setting the market and then defending his position as the #1, as he's clearly still the best WR in the league. Those other guys set the floor at $35.2 mill, but both Nacua and Pickens will probably be more in line with JSN's $42.2. So a roughly $18 mill price difference from Tucker's group.


There are some guys in between those two groups who might be worth a look as budgetary options, especially those older than Tucker. But I thought this would be an interesting enough way to kick off the discussion by showing what the WR market is looking like right now, so that we could reasonably put into context what it will cost us to improve the position next year. Is simply drafting a WR a good enough plan in 2027? Do you want to keep Tucker? Or maybe sign someone else?

[mstrbass2000]

That graphic going around about Cousins has 3 of the Top 10 Passing Combinations QB/WR in the league when it comes to QB rating.

Cousins to Tre is at 114.2, part of the he doesn't get enough balls his way to prove he's full worth to us, so he can't be seen as a fabled #1.
On top of that, we have a TE acting as WR who ranks #2 at 131.3. So is Tre's ceiling really a #2 any way?
Who are we signing/drafting who's going to out preform Bowers? What's those chances?
Tre could be amazing or perhaps he's is he ranked well because his limited usage which skews him upwards?
RamFan said it right, we still have a 1/2 year left to learn as much as we can about the entire squad.

ive seen enough of tucker to know the dude is a wr3 at best ...time to go get a real wr1 to go with bowers te1 production they can co-exist easily like kelce/tyreke did

ps in a shootout vs the jets what did tre tucker put up again last week

[raider_kin]

ive seen enough of tucker to know the dude is a wr3 at best ...time to go get a real wr1 to go with bowers te1 production they can co-exist easily like kelce/tyreke did

ps in a shootout vs the jets what did tre tucker put up again last week

Get over your obsession with giving up draft capital to get us either a one year prima donna or a 2 year prima donna.

All you talk about is trading draft capital for crap.
Cue the onslaught of cherry picked stats.

Thank God you aren't anywhere near the decision makers 0

[chucker]

Pickens doesn't fit the Raiders system or culture. Don't invest in someone who doesn't fit your system or culture. It's not really complicated. I think Kubiak would value a Jakobi Meyers more than a George Pickens - even though a Meyers would cost far less. Unless Kubiak is playing fantasy football.

[CWood24]

Pickens has really took the Cowboys over the top with that 3-5 record

I think we’re in a very unique situation where we maybe don’t need to look for a natural No.1 because of Bowers being a swiss army knife & Mayer playing well

Option are open to maybe grabbing a WR in the 2nd or even 3rd & for them to sit as maybe the 3rd or 4th option behind Bowers, Mayer & maybe even Jeanty

[DanKD]

We dont need receivers who other teams need to game plan to stop. We need receivers who can consistently beat 1 on 1s when other teams game plan to stop Bowers.