The Tankathon thread,i.e., the 2026 Draft

Las Vegas Raiders Discussion.
Born from RF.net ruins, resurrected as RF.com, now arriving at Raiderstation.
The #1 Las Vegas Raiders site on the web!
User avatar
KillerRaider30
Posts: 7,596
Joined: Fri Mar 13, 2015 12:24 pm
Has given High Fives: 624 times
Received High Fives: 550 times

The Tankathon thread,i.e., the 2026 Draft

Unread post by KillerRaider30 »

User avatar
raider_kin
SnakeThe AssassinThe JudgeGhostMad StorkPurple Drank
Posts: 4,328
Joined: Mon Sep 21, 2015 8:01 am
Has given High Fives: 2706 times
Received High Fives: 1182 times

Unread post by raider_kin »

tatalalicious wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:18 am Lol, "Raiders derangement syndrome". "This will be the thing to make me leave this fanbase". New season starts " this could be our year, love what the new coach/gm are doing". Lol.
I was not down with most of what happened this past off season
User avatar
pfish57
Posts: 8,715
Joined: Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:57 pm
Has given High Fives: 356 times
Received High Fives: 838 times

Unread post by pfish57 »

raider_kin wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:24 am I was not down with most of what happened this past off season
I hated the off season...Raiders equate to what can go wrong will go wrong!!!
These users gave a High Five to the author pfish57 for the post:
raider_kin
User avatar
Cruisin with Tooz
Posts: 1,725
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2024 11:43 am
Has given High Fives: 225 times
Received High Fives: 505 times

Unread post by Cruisin with Tooz »

JRaider17 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 9:05 am
His odds #s seem pretty inflated. If we lose to NYG and beat KC he has odds of 36% to get #1 pick. That would require NYG to beat Dal, Cle to beat Pit or Cin, and we would have to overtake the NYJ SOS. Ignoring the Jets SOS issue for the moment, just look at those 3 games. Were counting on 3 underdogs in those 3 games. And Pit is on the verge of clinching, so Cle is a big underdog in that game. If all 3 of those games were exact 50-50 propositions, the chances of getting a Giants win and at least 1 Cle win is 37.5% Once you adjust for the fact that none of these games are 50-50 propositions, and the Cle-Pit game is not even close to that, and then add in the additional requirement of the Jets SOS, its no where close to a 36% chance of getting the #1 pick. More like 15%.

Same if we beat NYG and lose to KC. To get #1 pick in that scenario would require Giants to beat Dal, Cle to beat either Pit or Cin, overtake the Jets SOS, AND, most significantly, overtake the NYG SOS. Focusing on the NYG-LV SOS, with 2 weeks left, our odds of overtaking the NYG SOS are very long. Like <0.5% long in this scenario. The Giants could have clinched that yesterday if Ind had beaten SF. The Giants are very close to wrapping that up. Obviously then we cant have an 11% chance of getting the #1 pick. Id say close to a statistical impossibility when you start out with a 1/2% chance from the LV-NYG SOS race, then adjust down for the other things that have to happen (Cle wins at least 1 more game, and the Jets-LV SOS).
User avatar
Oaktownonly
Posts: 3,720
Joined: Sat Nov 01, 2014 9:32 am
Has given High Fives: 441 times
Received High Fives: 424 times

Unread post by Oaktownonly »

If we lose to the Giants then we leapfrog them and we're picking #1. We would control our draft destiny. This is a big game.

Maybe they'll flex it.
These users gave a High Five to the author Oaktownonly for the post (total 2):
RI RAIDER, mranquales
User avatar
Sloth_Fratelli
Posts: 1,361
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2016 1:43 pm
Has given High Fives: 413 times
Received High Fives: 121 times

Unread post by Sloth_Fratelli »

BoKnows81 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:21 am Quite honestly Pete and Geno coming back next year, while not having the #1 pick would be the icing on the cake for me.

Disgraceful that its come to this.
And Brennan. Good thing is we will have the inside track on the 2027 #1 overall pick. Maxx will finally be traded too
User avatar
RI RAIDER
Posts: 6,346
Joined: Sun Dec 08, 2013 4:34 am
Has given High Fives: 1065 times
Received High Fives: 589 times

Unread post by RI RAIDER »

Even with a win, we will still pick ahead of the Titans and Cards. There is no way to catch up the the Browns in SOS. The SOS for the Giants and Jets will come down to the last game.
User avatar
Attyla
Gold JacketSnake3 Mile Lyle
Posts: 52,595
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 4:31 pm
Has given High Fives: 1235 times
Received High Fives: 2947 times

Unread post by Attyla »

RI RAIDER wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:58 am Even with a win, we will still pick ahead of the Titans and Cards. There is no way to catch up the the Browns in SOS. The SOS for the Giants and Jets will come down to the last game.
If the Cards have a chance at Mendoza, smart money says they take him
User avatar
BoKnows81
Bo Knows
Posts: 7,333
Joined: Sat Sep 12, 2015 3:36 am
Has given High Fives: 931 times
Received High Fives: 2156 times

Unread post by BoKnows81 »

Sloth_Fratelli wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:57 am And Brennan. Good thing is we will have the inside track on the 2027 #1 overall pick. Maxx will finally be traded too
I couldn't give 2 shits about Brennan. He's irrelevant.
User avatar
Cruisin with Tooz
Posts: 1,725
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2024 11:43 am
Has given High Fives: 225 times
Received High Fives: 505 times

Unread post by Cruisin with Tooz »

RI RAIDER wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 11:58 am Even with a win, we will still pick ahead of the Titans and Cards. There is no way to catch up the the Browns in SOS. The SOS for the Giants and Jets will come down to the last game.
The Giants one is all but over. The Giants can clinch the tiebreaker as early as Saturday with a Bal win. If they dont clinch it Saturday, they can clinch it Sunday if Ten, Cle, Chi or Buf win. If they dont clinch it this week, they can clinch it if Cle, Chi, Atl or Sea win in week 17. For all practical purposes, its all over, except for the crying.
User avatar
Oaktownonly
Posts: 3,720
Joined: Sat Nov 01, 2014 9:32 am
Has given High Fives: 441 times
Received High Fives: 424 times

Unread post by Oaktownonly »

Exactly why we need to lose both games.
User avatar
RI RAIDER
Posts: 6,346
Joined: Sun Dec 08, 2013 4:34 am
Has given High Fives: 1065 times
Received High Fives: 589 times

Unread post by RI RAIDER »

Giants can not clinch this weekend. Cleveland has a guaranteed SOS lead with everybody.
User avatar
Attyla
Gold JacketSnake3 Mile Lyle
Posts: 52,595
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2014 4:31 pm
Has given High Fives: 1235 times
Received High Fives: 2947 times

Unread post by Attyla »

Cruisin with Tooz wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 12:17 pm The Giants one is all but over. The Giants can clinch the tiebreaker as early as Saturday with a Bal win. If they dont clinch it Saturday, they can clinch it Sunday if Ten, Cle, Chi or Buf win. If they dont clinch it this week, they can clinch it if Cle, Chi, Atl or Sea win in week 17. For all practical purposes, its all over, except for the crying.
If we lose out, we get at the very least a tie with the Titans. Titans can win on Sunday as they host the Saints and I like their chances. If the Titans win, and we lose it is all over regardless. If the Titans win? Different ball game but SoS plays in our favor I believe
User avatar
Cruisin with Tooz
Posts: 1,725
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2024 11:43 am
Has given High Fives: 225 times
Received High Fives: 505 times

Unread post by Cruisin with Tooz »

RI RAIDER wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 12:29 pm Giants can not clinch this weekend. Cleveland has a guaranteed SOS lead with everybody.

Im refering to clinching the tiebreaker with respect to us.
User avatar
Cruisin with Tooz
Posts: 1,725
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2024 11:43 am
Has given High Fives: 225 times
Received High Fives: 505 times

Unread post by Cruisin with Tooz »

Attyla wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 12:29 pm If we lose out, we get at the very least a tie with the Titans. Titans can win on Sunday as they host the Saints and I like their chances. If the Titans win, and we lose it is all over regardless. If the Titans win? Different ball game but SoS plays in our favor I believe
Weve already clinched the tiebreaker with respect to Ten. The only way for us not to get the #1 pick if we wind up with 2 wins is if we tie the Giants and both finish 2-14-1. Then we would have to overtake the tiebreaker with the Giants, and I dont see that happening.
User avatar
RunOverByHubbard
Posts: 13,351
Joined: Thu Dec 12, 2013 9:09 am
Location: 88 miles NE of the Coliseum
Has given High Fives: 137 times
Received High Fives: 753 times

Unread post by RunOverByHubbard »

I think the Chiefs rise up and beat us because: Andy Reid would like nothing better than beating us using a 3rd string QB -- by virtue of his better game planning/coaching. One problem is the 3rd stringer, Chris Oladokun is only 6'1" and we all know he is 3 inches short of being able to be a good NFL QB. I worry about the Giants game more because they have something to play for -- a better draft position.

Both are home games but that is not a problem. The financial plan Doofus achieved by moving the team works every time -- the foreign fans come to Vegas in droves.
These users gave a High Five to the author RunOverByHubbard for the post:
Viper
Post Reply